Tools · Nodes
Hiring value estimator
Industry
Industry changes the labels only. The starting annual-production coefficient is the carrier reference; replace it with a value validated on your own outcomes.
Faster ramp to production
Enter the share that reaches your defined production milestone.
Capped at 47 days, the observed median change from 109 days to 62 days at one carrier.
The fitted carrier reference is $54.35 more in annual production per producing person for each day faster to the first milestone. This is an association, not daily revenue or guaranteed savings. Validate your own coefficient before budgeting.
Reference counterfactual: one carrier filter would have rejected 2,863 producing agents and put $17.7M in annual production at risk. Enter your own filter volume, producing share, and annual value.
Time horizon
Multi-year totals repeat the annual estimate without growth or compounding.
Illustrative value estimate · 1 year
Computed from your inputs. The faster-ramp line applies to the estimated 0 advisors who reach production.
Potential value by source
- Modeled faster-ramp valueregression$0Ramp value multiplies annual hires by the share reaching production, the annual-production coefficient, and days accelerated. The default reference associates each day faster to the first milestone with $54.35 more in annual production per producing person. This is a fitted association rather than daily cash or a causal return. Days are capped at 47, the observed median change from 109 days to 62 days. The same record separately reports $1,357 in projected annual production per agent for a 30-day reduction. The filter estimate multiplies candidates rejected by their producing share and annual value per producer. At the reference carrier, one experience filter would have rejected 2,863 producing agents and put $17.7M in annual production at risk. These references come from a 10,765-agent study at one carrier and require validation on your own history.Methodology · arxiv.org/abs/2604.19819 →
- Production at risk under the filterestimate$0
Operational metrics
- Producers / year0
- Annual value per person / day faster$54
- Days accelerated47d
Potential gross value only. License, implementation, infrastructure, and retained customer effort are excluded. This is not net ROI or payback.
Illustrative estimate from your inputs. The carrier references came from one role at one company. Validate the coefficient, producing share, and outcome definition on your own history before budgeting.
Discuss your workflowMethod from "Decision Traces," arxiv.org/abs/2604.19819. The fitted reference associates each day faster to the first production milestone with $54.35 more in annual production per producing person. It is an association, not daily cash or a causal return. Separate carrier references are $1,357 in projected annual production per agent for a 30-day reduction; a 47-day median change from 109 days to 62 days; and $17.7M in annual production at risk across 2,863 producing agents from one filter. The estimator does not add the $1,357 reference to its estimate. These figures come from one role at one company. Validate the coefficient, producing share, and outcome definition on your own history before budgeting.